Mike Halpert , from NOAA ’s Climate Prediction Center , is here today to answer our questions about El Niño , how its forecasting process work , just how likely we are to see El Niño hail up again this twelvemonth , and what that might intend .
Image : Sea surface temperature in the equatorial Pacific Ocean /NOAA .
Thelatest predictionfrom the Climate Prediction Center put the possibility of El Niño arriving by this summer at 70 % or by this nightfall at 80 % . Halpert is the Acting Director NOAA ’s Climate Prediction Center ( CPC ) , where he ’s also a member of the El Niño/ Southern Oscillation ( ENSO ) and seasonal prognosis squad . He lead CPC ’s genuine - fourth dimension mood monitoring efforts throughout much of the 1990s and their forecast operations between 2002 and 2007 . His research also focuses on climate variableness and clime foretelling , including El Niño impacts around the ball .

He ’ll be joining us from 10:00 – 11:00 a.m. ( Pacific time ) today , so start asking him questions now about El Niño , the forecast for this year , and just how it all might play out around the globe .
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